Silver To Remain Bullish | A Structural Supply Shortage In 2026
What Big Money knows that you may not! The silver supply cannot fill orders at current demand much less the bullish demand that will be needed in 2026.
The global silver production is experiencing a structural supply deficit amid strong industrial demand, with major miners reporting mixed output forecasts.
While some, like Pan American Silver, anticipate higher output, others like Fresnillo and Hecla Mining are guiding to lower or, respectively, 42-46.5 Moz and 15.1-16.5 Moz for 2026.
Key 2026 Production & Mining Highlights:
- Pan American Silver: Anticipates 25.0–27.0 million ounces (Moz) of attributable silver production in 2026, weighted toward the second half.
- Fresnillo: Revised 2026 production guidance to 42-46.5 Moz, a reduction from previous expectations.
- Hecla Mining: Projects 15.1-16.5 Moz, citing lower milled grades at key mines, though it plans to invest a record $55 million in exploration.
- First Majestic: Targets sustained, higher throughput of 4,000 tpd at the Los Gatos project by late 2026.
- Industry Trends: Persistent, long-term supply deficits are expected as silver production remains relatively inelastic, largely derived as a byproduct of base metal mining.

Market Drivers for 2026:
- Demand: Continued high demand from the solar energy sector and electric vehicle (EV) manufacturing is driving consumption.
- Deficit: The market is characterized by structural supply constraints rather than temporary shortages.
- Prices: Strong silver prices in early 2026 could lead to increased investment in development to counteract lower grades.
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